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Red28
37775.2
12021.7
87184.6
Blue49
814517.5
751512.9
408514.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434702060801002849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#13
21.71.0
20.819.8
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End1.1
red by 4.3
8145
#42Sur
17.50.5
16.216.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Second
3777
#51
5.21.5
11.710.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 9.2
4085
#21
14.40.7
12.713.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.2
Third
8718
#50
4.61.5
6.75.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
blue by 8.2
7515
#31
12.90.5
13.413.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed