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Red51
414523.2
814011.2
45116.9
Blue53
618115.2
217217.0
140527.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46680204060801001205153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#12
23.20.5
21.722.2
Auto8.7
Teleop14.1
End0.5
blue by 4.0
1405
#18
27.21.0
25.824.8
Auto11.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
Second
451
#36
16.90.7
10.411.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Level
2172
#38
17.01.1
18.717.6
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
8140
#32
11.20.7
12.212.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 4.1
6181
#23
15.21.5
14.212.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed