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Red16
566719.7
96536.1
962211.4
Blue85
37930.4
460112.5
412122.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32690204060801001201401685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5667
#24
19.71.9
14.012.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End0.9
blue by 10.7
379
#6
30.41.5
28.429.9
Auto13.0
Teleop11.5
End5.9
Second
9622
#25
11.41.9
10.38.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.2
blue by 11.3
22.71.5
19.921.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Third
9653
#48
6.11.9
8.97.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End1.8
blue by 6.4
4601
#26
12.52.5
9.512.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsEarned