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Red54
907511.6
549216.9
408514.4
Blue25
541312.5
976712.7
217217.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364401002003004005006005425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#27
16.91.2
14.115.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
blue by 0.1
2172
#38
17.00.9
16.015.2
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Second
4085
#21
14.41.2
11.212.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.2
red by 1.8
9767
#46
12.71.5
9.68.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Third
9075
#40
11.61.2
7.89.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.2
blue by 1.0
5413
#47
12.50.9
12.811.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed