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Red45
446721.6
91948.2
96439.9
Blue65
824315.6
87184.6
752526.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404802060801001204565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#22
21.60.2
19.819.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.5
blue by 5.3
26.90.8
24.024.8
Auto14.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Second
9643
#49
9.90.2
9.49.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.5
blue by 5.7
8243
#14
15.61.4
13.214.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
Third
9194
#34
8.20.2
7.77.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
red by 3.6
8718
#50
4.61.4
5.66.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed