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Red58
566719.7
581122.6
414523.2
Blue39
260322.3
432717.1
814011.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61492040801005839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#12
23.20.4
22.922.5
Auto8.7
Teleop14.1
End0.5
red by 0.9
2603
#20
22.31.0
16.915.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End1.7
Second
5811
#11
22.60.6
18.918.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.5
red by 5.5
4327
#29
17.10.6
15.915.3
Auto6.8
Teleop9.8
End0.5
Third
5667
#24
19.70.6
12.111.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End0.9
red by 8.5
8140
#32
11.21.0
13.312.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed