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Red69
301532.7
217217.0
348423.3
Blue48
962211.4
37775.2
178731.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864702040601001201406948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.4
32.932.5
Auto12.9
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 1.7
31.00.1
30.730.8
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End3.0
Second
23.30.4
23.322.9
Auto10.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
red by 11.9
9622
#25
11.40.1
11.311.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.2
Third
2172
#38
17.00.4
17.116.7
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 11.8
3777
#51
5.20.1
5.15.2
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed