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Red44
566719.7
408514.4
696411.0
Blue62
959722.3
45116.9
871312.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474630354050556065704462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5667
#24
19.70.3
16.316.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End0.9
blue by 2.6
22.31.8
17.419.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Second
4085
#21
14.40.3
14.114.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.2
blue by 2.5
451
#36
16.91.8
15.116.9
Auto5.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Third
6964
#39
11.00.3
10.811.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
blue by 1.0
8713
#37
12.11.8
10.512.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed