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Red59
405014.0
260322.3
618115.2
Blue52
907511.6
751512.9
752526.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495702040801001205952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#20
22.31.3
19.120.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End1.7
blue by 4.6
26.90.1
26.326.4
Auto14.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Second
6181
#23
15.21.3
13.314.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.4
red by 2.4
7515
#31
12.90.1
12.812.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Third
4050
#15
14.00.9
13.114.0
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End1.7
red by 2.4
9075
#40
11.60.2
11.411.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed