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Red78
976712.7
140527.2
402726.1
Blue52
96439.9
239918.9
12021.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7053204060801001207852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#18
27.20.8
24.525.3
Auto11.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
red by 5.5
120
#13
21.70.1
21.721.8
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End1.1
Second
26.10.8
25.226.0
Auto12.3
Teleop11.2
End2.6
red by 7.2
2399
#17
18.90.1
18.819.0
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
9767
#46
12.71.1
11.512.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.5
red by 2.8
9643
#49
9.90.2
9.79.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed