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Red65
313811.0
432717.1
350422.1
Blue82
170821.1
37930.4
415019.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49792040601001206582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#16
22.10.5
21.421.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.9
End1.2
blue by 8.4
379
#6
30.41.0
29.029.9
Auto13.0
Teleop11.5
End5.9
Second
4327
#29
17.10.5
16.116.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.8
End0.5
blue by 4.0
1708
#10
21.11.0
20.221.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
Third
3138
#41
11.00.7
10.311.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End1.0
blue by 8.3
4150
#44
19.31.0
18.419.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned