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Red93
178731.0
217217.0
301532.7
Blue93
140527.2
69525.2
581122.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9173204060801001209393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.3
32.532.8
Auto12.9
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 5.5
1405
#18
27.20.5
25.325.8
Auto11.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
Second
31.00.3
30.831.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End3.0
red by 5.8
695
#45
25.20.5
23.223.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.8
End2.3
Third
2172
#38
17.00.3
16.717.0
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 5.6
5811
#11
22.60.7
20.020.7
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.5