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Red55
412122.7
746013.1
871312.1
Blue51
581122.6
395417.3
814517.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526302040801001205551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.2
22.522.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.4
red by 0.2
5811
#11
22.60.5
20.520.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.5
Second
7460
#30
13.10.3
13.413.1
Auto6.6
Teleop4.5
End1.9
blue by 4.4
8145
#42
17.50.3
17.817.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Third
8713
#37
12.10.3
12.412.1
Auto0.4
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 5.2
3954
#28
17.30.3
17.617.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed