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Red34
81409.2
319317.4
82224.8
Blue50
415012.1
239921.3
265615.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462020801001201403450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.7
18.217.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End0.9
blue by 3.9
21.30.2
21.421.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.5
End1.9
Second
8140
#13
9.20.7
12.912.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End0.3
blue by 6.7
2656
#14
15.80.3
17.417.1
Auto7.8
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
4.80.7
2.82.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 7.3
12.10.2
14.414.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed