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Red44
69522.4
57408.2
412120.5
Blue15
96434.7
103812.5
178731.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6379020401001201401604415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#9
22.41.8
25.223.4
Auto7.2
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 8.7
1787
#10
31.03.6
40.536.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.7
End2.9
Second
20.51.8
22.720.9
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End2.1
red by 8.0
1038
#23
12.53.6
18.915.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End4.0
Third
5740
#16
8.21.8
11.29.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.2
End1.4
red by 3.5
9643
#18
4.74.8
9.95.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned48%Ensemble oddsMissed