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Red23
201016.3
57408.2
46017.0
Blue47
412120.5
415012.1
103812.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325902040801001202347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#20
16.30.6
17.917.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End1.7
blue by 4.2
20.50.2
20.920.7
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Second
5740
#16
8.20.6
9.48.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.2
End1.4
blue by 4.2
1038
#23
12.50.2
15.315.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End4.0
Third
4601
#22
7.00.6
4.94.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 5.1
12.10.2
14.213.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed