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Red41
91948.3
69522.4
96434.7
Blue63
239921.3
82224.8
814514.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39403035455055604163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#9
22.40.4
23.423.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 1.1
21.30.9
21.222.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.5
End1.9
Second
9194
#19
8.30.4
7.37.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 5.7
8145
#12
14.00.9
12.813.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Third
9643
#18
4.70.4
5.15.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 0.1
4.80.9
2.23.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned