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Red60
91948.3
412120.5
239921.3
Blue50
12014.0
201016.3
82224.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5835020801006050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.2
21.121.4
Auto8.8
Teleop10.5
End1.9
red by 5.0
2010
#20
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End1.7
Second
20.50.2
20.320.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End2.1
red by 6.5
120
#17
14.00.2
13.814.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Third
9194
#19
8.30.2
8.18.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.3
red by 3.5
4.80.2
4.64.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.7
End1.3