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Red100
54139.4
69522.4
319317.4
Blue47
239921.3
412120.5
91948.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525620408010010047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#9
22.40.5
21.722.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 1.1
21.30.1
21.421.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.5
End1.9
Second
17.40.5
16.817.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End0.9
blue by 3.1
20.50.1
20.620.5
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Third
5413
#24
9.40.5
8.79.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 1.1
9194
#19
8.30.1
8.48.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.3