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Red34
54139.4
69522.4
319317.4
Blue31
824313.8
57408.2
96228.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543202040801001201403431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#9
22.40.4
21.421.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 8.5
8243
#11
13.80.3
14.314.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Second
17.40.4
16.416.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End0.9
red by 9.2
5740
#16
8.20.3
8.78.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Third
5413
#24
9.40.4
8.48.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 1.2
8.10.3
8.68.3
Auto1.5
Teleop6.3
End0.4