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Red20
13087.3
81409.2
103812.5
Blue28
415012.1
96434.7
265615.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323902060802028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#23
12.50.2
12.712.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End4.0
blue by 3.4
2656
#14
15.80.4
16.516.1
Auto7.8
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Second
8140
#13
9.20.2
9.49.2
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End0.3
blue by 2.9
12.10.4
12.812.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Third
1308
#15
7.30.2
7.67.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End1.7
red by 2.7
9643
#18
4.70.4
5.45.0
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End0.1