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Red118
261435.1
402833.9
42425.5
Blue80
319324.4
461128.8
566728.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105885015020011880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.4
34.735.1
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End5.7
red by 6.3
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End2.7
Second
33.90.4
33.433.9
Auto11.4
Teleop16.6
End5.8
red by 5.3
28.50.0
28.628.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
Third
424
#20
25.50.4
25.025.5
Auto12.2
Teleop11.7
End1.5
red by 1.1
3193
#23
24.40.0
24.524.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0