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Red138
261435.1
402833.9
42425.5
Blue76
319324.4
461128.8
566728.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102895015020013876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.8
33.834.7
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End5.7
red by 6.3
28.80.1
28.928.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End2.7
Second
33.90.8
32.633.4
Auto11.4
Teleop16.6
End5.8
red by 5.3
28.50.1
28.728.6
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
Third
424
#20
25.50.8
24.225.0
Auto12.2
Teleop11.7
End1.5
red by 1.1
3193
#23
24.40.1
24.624.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0