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Red84
959725.1
32535.5
581128.3
Blue94
319324.4
461128.8
566728.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100890501502008494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#15
35.50.2
35.735.5
Auto13.9
Teleop19.2
End2.4
red by 6.7
28.80.0
28.928.9
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End2.7
Second
28.30.2
28.528.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End3.1
blue by 0.2
28.50.0
28.628.7
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
Third
9597
#29
25.10.2
25.325.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.7
End3.0
red by 0.7
3193
#23
24.40.0
24.624.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0