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Red75
461128.8
446725.1
814012.9
Blue75
260321.9
581128.3
381419.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637201001502002503003507575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End2.7
red by 0.5
28.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End3.1
Second
4467
#12
25.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End3.8
red by 3.2
2603
#33
21.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Third
8140
#38
12.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 6.9
3814
#30
19.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed