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Red52
55420.2
408518.5
566728.5
Blue44
90978.0
814515.4
457619.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564020801005244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.3
19.720.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
red by 9.5
4576
#17
19.00.3
14.113.8
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Second
554
#13
20.20.3
12.412.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End3.2
red by 4.7
8145
#43
15.40.3
17.517.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Third
4085
#11
18.50.2
16.917.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
red by 10.5
9097
#40
8.00.3
6.66.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed