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Red71
12814.5
4828.4
716518.4
Blue61
349215.7
332414.0
320133.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595101001502002503003504007161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#7
28.40.6
26.727.3
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End1.2
blue by 5.4
3201
#14
33.80.8
28.629.4
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
Second
7165
#31
18.40.7
14.915.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End2.4
red by 2.7
3492
#22
15.70.8
7.28.0
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Third
128
#34
14.50.9
11.012.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 0.5
3324
#37
14.01.0
11.312.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed