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Red69
14432.5
45119.7
63029.3
Blue34
693614.7
60329.3
549218.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5151304060706934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#16
32.50.9
29.330.2
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End2.5
red by 14.1
5492
#44
18.40.8
16.916.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Second
451
#21
19.71.2
16.918.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.3
red by 5.0
6936
#42
14.71.1
11.410.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Third
6302
#46
9.31.0
7.28.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Level
6032
#47
9.31.1
11.110.1
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed