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Red40
319324.4
101417.3
814012.9
Blue110
446725.1
566728.5
42425.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49722040608010012040110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#23
24.40.5
22.922.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0
blue by 4.1
28.51.5
20.622.2
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
Second
1014
#32
17.30.5
13.312.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End3.5
blue by 8.2
424
#20
25.51.5
20.021.5
Auto12.2
Teleop11.7
End1.5
Third
8140
#38
12.90.6
10.510.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 12.2
4467
#12
25.11.9
21.623.4
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned