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Red80
839318.3
67715.2
103824.6
Blue22
131710.0
82225.4
63029.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54280204060801001201408022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.6
18.320.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.8
red by 14.6
1317
#24
10.00.7
13.913.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Second
8393
#26
18.31.8
13.014.8
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
red by 9.0
6302
#46
9.30.4
8.37.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Third
677
#36
15.22.2
14.216.4
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 9.8
8222
#49
5.40.5
6.35.8
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed