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Red57
14432.5
82225.4
696415.9
Blue72
55420.2
131710.0
320133.8
24%Model gave it76%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5270204060801001205772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#16
32.50.4
33.033.4
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End2.5
blue by 1.3
3201
#14
33.80.6
32.132.6
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
Second
6964
#45
15.90.4
10.711.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End2.1
blue by 4.3
554
#13
20.21.0
16.017.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End3.2
Third
8222
#49
5.40.4
5.86.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End0.1
blue by 4.6
1317
#24
10.01.0
13.214.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned