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Red31
574017.9
716518.4
426912.2
Blue78
319324.4
150729.3
408518.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5877020401001203178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7165
#31
18.41.9
19.017.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End2.4
blue by 10.9
1507
#18
29.30.1
27.227.3
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Second
5740
#35
17.91.9
24.522.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End2.0
blue by 6.6
3193
#23
24.40.1
22.422.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Third
4269
#39
12.23.2
11.07.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End2.4
blue by 6.3
4085
#11
18.50.1
17.517.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed