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Red108
566728.5
349215.7
581128.3
Blue64
261435.1
60329.3
222019.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6758020408010012014010864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.52.9
23.726.6
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
blue by 6.6
35.10.4
27.527.9
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End5.7
Second
28.32.9
24.427.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End3.1
red by 8.7
2220
#19
19.60.4
16.717.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End1.8
Third
3492
#22
15.72.9
11.414.3
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End0.8
red by 6.4
6032
#47
9.30.6
9.39.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed