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Red87
32535.5
326024.0
408518.5
Blue74
320133.8
67715.2
4828.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83857080901008774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#15
35.50.7
36.337.1
Auto13.9
Teleop19.2
End2.4
red by 1.7
3201
#14
33.80.4
33.332.8
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
Second
24.00.7
22.122.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.4
End3.4
blue by 4.4
48
#7
28.40.4
27.627.2
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End1.2
Third
4085
#11
18.50.7
17.518.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
red by 3.3
677
#36
15.20.4
14.814.3
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed