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Red72
581128.3
574017.9
824318.4
Blue61
381419.9
493012.9
566728.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77640501001502007261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.1
27.327.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End3.1
blue by 0.2
28.50.0
26.626.6
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
Second
8243
#27
18.40.1
18.918.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.9
End3.3
blue by 1.5
3814
#30
19.90.0
19.619.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Third
5740
#35
17.90.1
21.721.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End2.0
red by 5.0
4930
#48
12.90.0
13.113.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed