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Red108
566728.5
746018.9
320133.8
Blue72
235815.5
150729.3
461128.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877340608010012014010872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#14
33.80.6
33.133.6
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
red by 4.5
1507
#18
29.30.3
27.527.8
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Second
28.50.6
26.727.3
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
blue by 0.3
28.80.3
25.926.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End2.7
Third
18.90.6
17.317.9
Auto9.3
Teleop7.1
End2.4
red by 3.4
2358
#41
15.50.3
14.314.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed