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Red71
90978.0
414528.6
574017.9
Blue28
814515.4
814012.9
82225.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6239020801007128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#10
28.61.2
27.628.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.8
red by 13.2
8145
#43
15.40.8
17.616.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Second
5740
#35
17.91.2
19.720.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End2.0
red by 4.9
8140
#38
12.90.8
14.213.4
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.1
Third
9097
#40
8.01.2
5.87.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End1.4
red by 2.6
8222
#49
5.40.8
6.05.2
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed