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Red60
222019.6
457619.0
349215.7
Blue66
446725.1
549218.4
131710.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566202040801001201406066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#19
19.60.6
20.821.4
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End1.8
blue by 5.5
4467
#12
25.10.7
25.225.9
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End3.8
Second
4576
#17
19.00.6
16.016.6
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End1.9
red by 0.6
5492
#44
18.40.7
16.517.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
3492
#22
15.70.6
14.715.3
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End0.8
red by 5.7
1317
#24
10.01.1
13.915.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed