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Red37
12814.5
349215.7
82225.4
Blue80
326024.0
839318.3
42425.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34740204060801001203780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#22
15.70.0
15.315.2
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End0.8
blue by 9.8
424
#20
25.50.3
19.820.0
Auto12.2
Teleop11.7
End1.5
Second
128
#34
14.50.1
15.115.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End1.8
blue by 9.5
24.00.3
23.924.2
Auto9.2
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Third
8222
#49
5.40.0
5.25.2
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End0.1
blue by 12.9
8393
#26
18.30.3
18.418.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed