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Red51
493012.9
222019.6
319324.4
Blue63
55420.2
693614.7
67715.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665302040801001201405163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#23
24.40.5
23.923.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0
red by 4.2
554
#13
20.20.2
19.319.1
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End3.2
Second
2220
#19
19.60.5
21.420.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End1.8
red by 4.4
677
#36
15.20.1
13.413.3
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Third
4930
#48
12.90.5
13.112.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 1.8
6936
#42
14.70.2
17.116.9
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed