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Red61
824318.4
91948.2
260321.9
Blue83
201018.6
37930.4
320133.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479801502006183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 11.9
3201
Unranked
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
Second
8243
Unranked
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.9
End3.3
blue by 12.0
379
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto13.0
Teleop11.5
End5.9
Third
9194
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 10.4
2010
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody odds87%Melody odds
Ensemble
55%Ensemble odds54%Ensemble odds