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Red26
962211.4
461137.3
814515.4
Blue90
402839.0
319326.0
618115.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68920501502002690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
blue by 1.7
4028
Unranked
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4
Second
8145
Unranked
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End1.0
blue by 10.5
3193
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.6
Third
9622
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.2
blue by 3.8
6181
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody odds79%Melody odds
Ensemble
9%Ensemble odds58%Ensemble odds