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Red41
131710.0
408518.5
683417.1
Blue80
101415.8
217217.0
178740.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458601001502004180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
blue by 22.0
1787
Unranked
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
Second
6834
Unranked
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 0.1
2172
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
1317
Unranked
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 5.8
1014
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody odds64%Melody odds
Ensemble
12%Ensemble odds44%Ensemble odds