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Red77
581128.3
14428.3
239918.9
Blue66
412122.7
320133.8
91948.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86700501001507766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
Unranked
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End3.1
blue by 5.5
3201
Unranked
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
Second
144
Unranked
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
red by 5.5
4121
Unranked
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Third
2399
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 10.6
9194
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody odds69%Melody odds
Ensemble
25%Ensemble odds81%Ensemble odds