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Red81
588919.3
452319.4
93527.8
Blue49
237325.1
96679.4
181919.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424430506070808149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#18
27.82.7
17.119.8
Auto11.7
Teleop13.9
End2.2
red by 2.7
2373
#19
25.11.2
13.214.3
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Second
19.43.0
11.014.1
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End1.4
red by 0.2
1819
#22
19.20.8
16.016.8
Auto5.7
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Third
19.33.0
11.814.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
red by 9.9
9667
#36
9.41.2
9.110.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed