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Red34
366011.2
949522.5
680911.1
Blue24
31637.7
31729.3
871113.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45300204060801003424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.0
17.116.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.6
End2.7
red by 9.5
8711
#31
13.00.3
11.911.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
Second
3660
#39
11.21.3
11.09.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.1
red by 2.0
3172
#44
9.30.5
7.67.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End0.6
Third
6809
#32
11.10.9
10.910.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.8
red by 3.4
3163
#47
7.70.5
9.28.7
Auto6.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed