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Red46
94725.5
277315.0
450028.0
Blue64
501329.7
31637.7
946215.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405502060801004664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#20
28.00.5
24.124.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End1.5
blue by 1.7
5013
#16
29.70.8
27.127.9
Auto10.5
Teleop17.5
End1.7
Second
2773
#23
15.00.5
8.99.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 0.8
9462
#41
15.80.8
11.712.4
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Third
9472
#45
5.50.5
4.95.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 2.2
3163
#47
7.71.3
8.910.1
Auto6.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed