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Red40
955119.0
808613.9
400514.2
Blue51
588919.3
271823.1
602622.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4464020801001204051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9551
#24
19.00.5
17.617.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End1.3
blue by 4.1
2718
#30
23.10.3
19.519.1
Auto10.9
Teleop11.1
End1.2
Second
4005
#28
14.20.5
10.910.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.8
End1.9
blue by 8.2
22.40.3
19.218.9
Auto8.9
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Third
8086
#26
13.90.9
13.612.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
blue by 5.4
19.30.3
17.116.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed