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Red60
324717.7
93527.8
235915.6
Blue93
555023.3
346517.1
212237.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497902040601001201406093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#18
27.80.5
21.121.6
Auto11.7
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 9.5
37.31.4
32.233.6
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Second
3247
#17
17.70.8
13.113.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End2.0
blue by 5.6
5550
#25
23.31.4
20.321.7
Auto10.4
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
2359
#35
15.60.5
13.714.1
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End1.2
blue by 1.4
3465
#29
17.11.4
15.116.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned