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Red57
393121.5
237325.1
808613.9
Blue65
680911.1
316023.3
940128.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4744203040506070805765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2373
#19
25.11.1
12.113.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End2.1
blue by 3.7
9401
#12
28.71.4
17.919.3
Auto11.5
Teleop15.3
End1.9
Second
3931
#34
21.50.6
18.018.7
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3160
#15
23.31.8
15.417.2
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End1.6
Third
8086
#26
13.91.1
10.311.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
red by 2.7
6809
#32
11.11.7
9.210.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed